Truppe NATO/UE che combattono in Ucraina da...?

Truppe NATO/UE che combattono in Ucraina da...?

$488K volume·до 1 gen 2027
ESITIPROBABILITÀ · PREZZO
31 dicembre 2026$159K volume0123456789%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Altrimenti, questo mercato si risolverà in “No”.

For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.

Affinché il personale militare possa qualificarsi per una risoluzione "Sì", deve essere in servizio attivo e riconosciuto come descritto sopra. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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«Truppe NATO/UE che combattono in Ucraina da...?» è un mercato previsionale su Melbo. Il prezzo di una quota riflette la probabilità dell’esito: sull’esito corretto ogni quota viene regolata a $1, su quello errato a $0.

Truppe NATO/UE che combattono in Ucraina da...? · Melbo