Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$111K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
45%+$40K volume01234567890123456789%-5 pp
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50%+$36K volume01234567890123456789%-4 pp
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

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“Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026? · Melbo