In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

$407K volume·до Jan 1, 2028
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
October 2026$91K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
November 2026$94K volume01234567890123456789%-7 pp
December 2026$54K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
January 2027$16K volume01234567890123456789%+4 pp
February 2027$10K volume0123456789%+1 pp
March 2027$10K volume0123456789%
April 2027$9K volume0123456789%
May 2027$9K volume0123456789%
June 2027$9K volume0123456789%
July 2027$8K volume0123456789%
August 2027$8K volume0123456789%
September 2027$8K volume0123456789%
October 2027$8K volume0123456789%
November 2027$8K volume0123456789%
December 2027$8K volume0123456789%
No IPO before 2028$16K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.

An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.

If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.

Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“In which month will Anthropic IPO?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.