Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

$126K volume·до Oct 31, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
October 20$1K volume0123456789%-1 pp
PriceSharesTotal
October 21$721 volume0123456789%
October 22$819 volume0123456789%-1 pp
October 23$1K volume0123456789%
October 24$378 volume0123456789%
October 25$985 volume0123456789%
October 26$1K volume0123456789%
October 27$1K volume0123456789%
October 28$860 volume0123456789%
October 29$692 volume0123456789%
October 30$1K volume0123456789%
October 31$1K volume0123456789%
No release by October 31$90K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...? · Melbo