Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

$20K volume·до Dec 1, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Anthropic$6K volume01234567890123456789%-13 pp
PriceSharesTotal
Google$8K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
SpaceXAI$290 volume0123456789%
Alibaba$256 volume0123456789%
OpenAI$578 volume0123456789%
Baidu$255 volume0123456789%
Z.ai$237 volume0123456789%
Xiaomi$256 volume0123456789%
Moonshot$556 volume0123456789%+1 pp
Meta$243 volume0123456789%
Nvidia$236 volume0123456789%
DeepSeek$460 volume0123456789%
MiniMax$243 volume0123456789%
Meituan$198 volume0123456789%
Amazon$584 volume0123456789%
ByteDance$235 volume0123456789%
Mistral$431 volume0123456789%+1 pp
Tencent$241 volume0123456789%+2 pp
StepFun$320 volume01234567890123456789%+4 pp
Microsoft$262 volume0123456789%
Thinky$259 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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“Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November? · Melbo