Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

$15K volume·до Dec 1, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Moonshot$2K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Anthropic$427 volume0123456789%
OpenAI$3K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Z.ai$610 volume0123456789%
SpaceXAI$487 volume0123456789%
Meta$2K volume01234567890123456789%+7 pp
ByteDance$447 volume0123456789%+2 pp
Alibaba$1K volume01234567890123456789%
MiniMax$403 volume0123456789%
Google$1K volume01234567890123456789%+8 pp
Xiaomi$603 volume0123456789%-1 pp
DeepSeek$650 volume0123456789%+2 pp
Thinky$526 volume0123456789%-3 pp
Tencent$423 volume0123456789%
Poolside$483 volume0123456789%
Mistral$791 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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“Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November? · Melbo