How do I trade on “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?” close?

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?”?

The current trading volume is $86K. It updates in real time.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

$86K volume·до Jan 1, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Baltimore, MD$2K volume0123456789%+1 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Boston, MA$5K volume0123456789%

Charlotte, NC$1K volume0123456789%-5 pp

Chicago, IL$2K volume0123456789%-2 pp

Detroit, MI$4K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Denver, CO$12K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Las Vegas, NV$11K volume01234567890123456789%

London, UK$1K volume0123456789%

Minneapolis, MN$3K volume0123456789%+1 pp

New Orleans, LA$3K volume0123456789%-1 pp

New York, NY$3K volume0123456789%

Philadelphia, PA$4K volume0123456789%

Pittsburgh, PA$2K volume0123456789%

Portland, OR$4K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Sacramento, CA$10K volume01234567890123456789%

Seattle, WA$3K volume0123456789%

St. Louis, MO$1K volume0123456789%

Tokyo, Japan$530 volume0123456789%

Washington, DC$2K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.