Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

$22K volume·до Dec 1, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Anthropic$10K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
PriceSharesTotal
OpenAI$5K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Z.ai$706 volume0123456789%
SpaceXAI$813 volume0123456789%
Meta$728 volume0123456789%
Alibaba$647 volume0123456789%-1 pp
Google$696 volume0123456789%
Moonshot$506 volume0123456789%
DeepSeek$444 volume0123456789%
Xiaomi$532 volume0123456789%
MiniMax$434 volume0123456789%
Nvidia$461 volume0123456789%
ByteDance$399 volume0123456789%
Baidu$239 volume0123456789%
Amazon$259 volume0123456789%
Mistral$239 volume0123456789%
Meituan$239 volume0123456789%
Microsoft$239 volume0123456789%
Tencent$540 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November? · Melbo