How do I trade on “Which company has the best AI model end of November?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Which company has the best AI model end of November?”?

The current trading volume is $342K. It updates in real time.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Q: How will “Which company has the best AI model end of November?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Q: When does “Which company has the best AI model end of November?” close?

The expected close is до Dec 1, 2026. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

$342K volume·до Dec 1, 2026

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Anthropic$64K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Meta$27K volume0123456789%

Google$62K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Alibaba$18K volume0123456789%

Moonshot$22K volume0123456789%

OpenAI$25K volume0123456789%

Baidu$6K volume0123456789%

Z.ai$19K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Xiaomi$13K volume0123456789%

SpaceXAI$23K volume0123456789%

DeepSeek$34K volume0123456789%

Amazon$2K volume0123456789%

ByteDance$5K volume0123456789%

Nvidia$1K volume0123456789%

Thinky$2K volume0123456789%

MiniMax$3K volume0123456789%

Mistral$2K volume0123456789%

Meituan$4K volume0123456789%

Tencent$4K volume0123456789%

StepFun$2K volume0123456789%

Microsoft$3K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Which company has the best AI model end of November?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.