How do I trade on “Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?”?

The current trading volume is $13K. It updates in real time.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Q: How will “Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Q: When does “Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?” close?

The expected close is до Dec 1, 2026. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

$13K volume·до Dec 1, 2026

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Google$4K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

PriceSharesTotal

ByteDance$3K volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp

Meta$424 volume0123456789%+1 pp

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH$563 volume0123456789%

OpenAI$552 volume0123456789%

SpaceXAI$455 volume0123456789%

Pixverse$345 volume0123456789%

Runway$376 volume0123456789%

KlingAI$428 volume0123456789%+1 pp

Pruna$345 volume0123456789%

Luma AI$345 volume0123456789%

MiniMax$575 volume0123456789%+1 pp

Kandinsky$464 volume0123456789%

Tencent$346 volume0123456789%

Lightricks$363 volume0123456789%

Pika$571 volume0123456789%

Genmo AI$326 volume0123456789%

Black Forest Labs$345 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.