Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

$56K volume·до Jan 1, 2028
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Morgan Stanley$10K volume01234567890123456789%+9 pp
PriceSharesTotal
Goldman Sachs$16K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
JPMorgan$4K volume0123456789%
Bank of America$3K volume0123456789%
Citigroup$3K volume0123456789%
Barclays$4K volume0123456789%
UBS$4K volume0123456789%
Deutsche Bank$9K volume0123456789%
Wells Fargo$3K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO? · Melbo