Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$317K volume·до Jan 2, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Mike Lee$33K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Catherine Cortez Masto$10K volume0123456789%
Mark Warner$52K volume0123456789%
Jerry Moran$15K volume0123456789%
Kirsten Gillibrand$7K volume0123456789%
Lisa Blunt Rochester$6K volume0123456789%
Ruben Gallego$28K volume0123456789%
Raphael Warnock$4K volume0123456789%
Josh Hawley$47K volume0123456789%
Andy Kim$4K volume0123456789%
Rand Paul$28K volume0123456789%
John Fetterman$13K volume0123456789%
Thom Tillis$26K volume01234567890123456789%
Jacky Rosen$26K volume0123456789%
Alex Padilla$18K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088

The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.

This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.

Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.

This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).

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“Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Melbo