How do I trade on “October Inflation US”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “October Inflation US” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “October Inflation US” close?

The expected close is до Nov 11, 2026. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “October Inflation US”?

The current trading volume is $18K. It updates in real time.

October Inflation US

Annual

$18K volume·до Nov 11, 2026

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

≤3.2%$697 volume0123456789%

PriceSharesTotal

3.3%$662 volume0123456789%

3.4%$672 volume0123456789%

3.5%$640 volume0123456789%

3.6%$642 volume0123456789%

3.7%$7K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

3.8%$1K volume0123456789%+1 pp

3.9%$2K volume0123456789%

4.0%$1K volume0123456789%

4.1%$1K volume0123456789%

4.2%$723 volume0123456789%

≥4.3%$676 volume0123456789%

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“October Inflation US” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.