UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

$43K volume·до Nov 13, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Negative$6K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
0.0–0.1%$9K volume0123456789%
0.2–0.3%$11K volume0123456789%+3 pp
0.4–0.5%$9K volume01234567890123456789%-7 pp
0.6–0.7%$6K volume01234567890123456789%
0.8–0.9%$2K volume01234567890123456789%
1.0%+$1K volume0123456789%+2 pp

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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“UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? · Melbo