How do I trade on “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?” close?

The expected close is до Dec 31, 2026. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?”?

The current trading volume is $1.9M. It updates in real time.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.9M volume·до Dec 31, 2026

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

↑ 5.0%$20K volume0123456789%

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↑ 5.5%$57K volume0123456789%

↑ 5.25%$143K volume0123456789%

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↑ 4.75%$81K volume0123456789%-1 pp

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↓ 0.25%$133K volume0123456789%

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↓ 2.75%$373K volume0123456789%

↓ 3.0%$323K volume0123456789%

↓ 3.25%$82K volume0123456789%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.