Will gas hit __ by end of October?

Will gas hit __ by end of October?

$5K volume·до Nov 1, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
↑ $4.80$800 volume0123456789%+2 pp
PriceSharesTotal
↑ $4.70$0 volume01234567890123456789%
↑ $4.60$0 volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
↑ $4.50$172 volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp
↓ $4.20$0 volume01234567890123456789%-14 pp
↓ $4.00$0 volume01234567890123456789%+12 pp
↓ $3.80$327 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Will gas hit __ by end of October?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Will gas hit __ by end of October? · Melbo