Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$946K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2026$16K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...? · Melbo