Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

$928K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
North Korea$24K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Cuba$16K volume0123456789%
Saudi Arabia$86K volume0123456789%
Lebanon$121K volume0123456789%
Afghanistan$41K volume0123456789%
Iraq$18K volume0123456789%
Pakistan$27K volume0123456789%
Syria$23K volume0123456789%
Venezuela$387K volume0123456789%
Tunisia$24K volume0123456789%
Kuwait$31K volume0123456789%
Qatar$50K volume0123456789%
Indonesia$27K volume0123456789%
Malaysia$15K volume0123456789%
Bangladesh$17K volume0123456789%
Iran$21K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? · Melbo