Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
$629K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Ursula von der Leyen$13K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
Mark Rutte$75K volume01234567890123456789%+6 pp
Emmanuel Macron$12K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Mark Carney$14K volume0123456789%-4 pp
António Guterres$10K volume01234567890123456789%
JD Vance$148K volume0123456789%-1 pp
Donald Trump$109K volume0123456789%-1 pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.