Dominique de Villepin$22K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Ségolène Royal$5K volume0123456789%
François Asselineau$16K volume01234567890123456789%
Clémentine Autain$2K volume0123456789%-1 pp
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$3K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp
Michel Barnier$3K volume0123456789%
Valérie Pécresse$1K volume0123456789%
François Bayrou$5K volume0123456789%
Élisabeth Borne$2K volume0123456789%
Yaël Braun-Pivet$2K volume0123456789%
Jean Castex$4K volume0123456789%
Gérald Darmanin$6K volume0123456789%
Carole Delga$5K volume0123456789%
Bernard Cazeneuve$13K volume0123456789%
Manuel Bompard$5K volume0123456789%
Mathilde Panot$3K volume0123456789%
Sarah Knafo$39K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Sébastien Lecornu$6K volume0123456789%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue$4K volume0123456789%
Nathalie Arthaud$8K volume01234567890123456789%
Delphine Batho$3K volume01234567890123456789%
Jérôme Guedj$8K volume0123456789%
Karim Bouamrane$11K volume0123456789%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc$11K volume0123456789%
Manuel Valls$1K volume0123456789%
Teddy Riner$13K volume0123456789%
Matthieu Pigasse$18K volume0123456789%+2 pp
Juan Branco$10K volume0123456789%
Philippe de Villiers$4K volume0123456789%
Bally Bagayoko$10K volume0123456789%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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“2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.