How do I trade on “Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner”?

The current trading volume is $14K. It updates in real time.

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Q: How will “Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Q: When does “Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner” close?

The expected close is до Oct 25, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

Argentina Presidential Election First

$14K volume·до Oct 25, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Javier Milei$6K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Juan Grabois$130 volume0123456789%

Esteban Bullrich$133 volume0123456789%

Axel Kicillof$2K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Sergio Massa$3K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Juan Schiaretti$124 volume0123456789%

Facundo Manes$147 volume0123456789%

Myriam Bregman$206 volume0123456789%

Victoria Villarruel$123 volume0123456789%

Mauricio Macri$123 volume0123456789%

Dante Gebel$332 volume0123456789%

Patricia Bullrich$298 volume0123456789%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner$184 volume0123456789%

Karina Milei$124 volume0123456789%

Nicolás del Caño$149 volume0123456789%

Guillermo Moreno$247 volume0123456789%

Daniel Hadad$146 volume0123456789%

Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro$186 volume0123456789%-1 pp

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.