How do I trade on “Argentina Presidential Election Winner”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Argentina Presidential Election Winner” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Argentina Presidential Election Winner” close?

The expected close is до Oct 25, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Argentina Presidential Election Winner”?

The current trading volume is $1.0M. It updates in real time.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election

$1.0M volume·до Oct 25, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Javier Milei$265K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Juan Grabois$44K volume0123456789%

Esteban Bullrich$39K volume0123456789%

Axel Kicillof$140K volume01234567890123456789%

Sergio Massa$86K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Juan Schiaretti$44K volume0123456789%

Facundo Manes$35K volume0123456789%

Myriam Bregman$62K volume0123456789%

Victoria Villarruel$43K volume0123456789%

Mauricio Macri$53K volume0123456789%

Dante Gebel$52K volume0123456789%+1 pp

Patricia Bullrich$31K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner$21K volume0123456789%

Karina Milei$85 volume0123456789%

Nicolás del Caño$140 volume0123456789%

Guillermo Moreno$26K volume0123456789%

Daniel Hadad$20K volume0123456789%

Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro$14K volume0123456789%

Máximo Kirchner$18K volume0123456789%

Alberto Fernández$130 volume0123456789%-43 pp

Lionel Messi$11K volume0123456789%-34 pp

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Argentina Presidential Election Winner” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.