Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$188.8M volume·до Oct 26, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$27.0M volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
PriceSharesTotal
Flávio Bolsonaro$23.3M volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Brazil Presidential Election” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.