CA-23 House Election Winner

CA-23 House Election Winner

CA-23 House Election
$110K volume·до Nov 4, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Jay Obernolte (R)$41K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)$69K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Proposed outcome
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Questions and answers

“CA-23 House Election Winner” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

CA-23 House Election Winner · Melbo