French election called by...?

French election called by...?

$1.1M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2026$14K volume0123456789%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“French election called by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.