Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

$94K volume·до Oct 28, 2026
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Likud$2K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Together$65K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Shas$2K volume0123456789%
Yashar$2K volume0123456789%+1 pp
The Democrats$6K volume0123456789%
Otzma Yehudit$3K volume0123456789%-1 pp
Blue and White$629 volume0123456789%
Yisrael Beiteinu$3K volume0123456789%
United Torah Judaism$2K volume0123456789%
RZP-Zehut$2K volume0123456789%
Joint List$3K volume0123456789%
Ra'am$638 volume0123456789%
Amcha Yisrael$456 volume0123456789%
Noam$519 volume0123456789%
The Reservists and the Economic Party$932 volume0123456789%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

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“Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place · Melbo