How do I trade on “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Next Prime Minister of Spain?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Next Prime Minister of Spain?” close?

The expected close is до Apr 1, 2028. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

The current trading volume is $2.0M. It updates in real time.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

$2.0M volume·до Apr 1, 2028

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Pedro Sánchez$464K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

PriceSharesTotal

María Jesús Montero$35K volume0123456789%

Yolanda Díaz$171K volume0123456789%

Ernest Urtasun$16K volume0123456789%

Aitor Esteban$15K volume0123456789%

Miguel Tellado$24K volume0123456789%

Ester Muñoz$17K volume0123456789%

Alberto Núñez Feijóo$417K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Santiago Abascal$279K volume0123456789%

Pepa Millán$16K volume0123456789%

Cuca Gamarra$17K volume0123456789%

Borja Sémper$16K volume0123456789%

Carles Puigdemont$20K volume0123456789%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso$239K volume0123456789%

Carlos Cuerpo$199K volume0123456789%

Óscar Puente$76K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Next Prime Minister of Spain?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.