Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

$301K volume·до Apr 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2026$291K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
March 31, 2027$10K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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“Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.