Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$164K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$164K volume0123456789%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.