Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
$2.0M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31$938K volume0123456789%+1 pp
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Satoshi's identity be proven by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.