Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

$1.9M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Belarus$83K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Turkey$87K volume0123456789%
Finland$77K volume0123456789%
Switzerland$73K volume0123456789%
Russia$133K volume0123456789%
Gulf country$85K volume0123456789%
South Korea$61K volume0123456789%
Japan$56K volume0123456789%
Australia$62K volume0123456789%
United States$113K volume0123456789%-1 pp
Other EU country$82K volume0123456789%
Other$88K volume0123456789%
No meeting by December 31$519K volume01234567890123456789%
China$315K volume01234567890123456789%+5 pp
Ukraine$59K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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“Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.