Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$403K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
European Union$13K volume0123456789%
India$73K volume01234567890123456789%+8 pp
Canada$24K volume01234567890123456789%
Brazil$5K volume0123456789%+1 pp
Japan$18K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Indonesia$20K volume0123456789%
Argentina$23K volume0123456789%
Vietnam$11K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
Australia$6K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Mexico$3K volume01234567890123456789%
South Korea$61K volume0123456789%
Israel$906 volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
Pakistan$106K volume01234567890123456789%
United Kingdom$649 volume01234567890123456789%
Russia$2K volume01234567890123456789%
South Africa$614 volume0123456789%
Taiwan$35K volume01234567890123456789%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
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Questions and answers
“Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.