Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$1.8M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Pakistan$9K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Qatar$9K volume0123456789%
Turkey$489K volume0123456789%
Egypt$7K volume0123456789%
Jordan$14K volume0123456789%+2 pp
Oman$187K volume0123456789%
Kuwait$88K volume0123456789%
Syria$171K volume0123456789%
Lebanon$89K volume0123456789%
Saudi Arabia$449K volume0123456789%
Azerbaijan$192K volume0123456789%
Somaliland$123K volume01234567890123456789%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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“Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? · Melbo