Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1.2M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Gavin Newsom$89K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$56K volume01234567890123456789%
Pete Buttigieg$23K volume01234567890123456789%-7 pp
Josh Shapiro$13K volume0123456789%
Wes Moore$7K volume0123456789%
Stephen A. Smith$20K volume0123456789%
Kamala Harris$68K volume0123456789%
Gretchen Whitmer$5K volume0123456789%
Andy Beshear$26K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Jon Ossoff$27K volume0123456789%
Mark Cuban$15K volume0123456789%
J.B. Pritzker$4K volume0123456789%
Raphael Warnock$4K volume01234567890123456789%
Cory Booker$17K volume0123456789%
Tim Walz$7K volume0123456789%
Michelle Obama$15K volume0123456789%
Mark Kelly$13K volume01234567890123456789%
Rahm Emanuel$20K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
Gina Raimondo$4K volume0123456789%
Zohran Mamdani$36K volume0123456789%
Roy Cooper$7K volume0123456789%
John Fetterman$7K volume0123456789%
Jared Polis$6K volume0123456789%+1 pp
Jon Stewart$5K volume0123456789%
Barack Obama$11K volume0123456789%
Hillary Clinton$16K volume0123456789%
Liz Cheney$3K volume0123456789%
Bernie Sanders$4K volume0123456789%
Phil Murphy$5K volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp
LeBron James$16K volume0123456789%
Hunter Biden$58K volume0123456789%
George Clooney$5K volume0123456789%
Chelsea Clinton$13K volume0123456789%
MrBeast$30K volume0123456789%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$11K volume0123456789%
Oprah Winfrey$17K volume0123456789%
Andrew Yang$16K volume0123456789%
Beto O’Rourke$12K volume0123456789%+1 pp
Kim Kardashian$7K volume0123456789%
Donald Trump$70K volume0123456789%
J.D. Vance$39K volume0123456789%
Marco Rubio$12K volume0123456789%
Tulsi Gabbard$7K volume0123456789%
Glenn Youngkin$7K volume0123456789%
Donald Trump Jr.$9K volume0123456789%
Ron DeSantis$3K volume01234567890123456789%
Nikki Haley$5K volume0123456789%
Vivek Ramaswamy$10K volume0123456789%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders$8K volume0123456789%
Greg Abbott$4K volume0123456789%
Brian Kemp$5K volume0123456789%
Byron Donalds$10K volume0123456789%
Elise Stefanik$4K volume0123456789%-1 pp
Josh Hawley$9K volume0123456789%
Ted Cruz$17K volume0123456789%-3 pp
Elon Musk$10K volume0123456789%
Matt Gaetz$3K volume0123456789%
Katie Britt$26K volume0123456789%
John Thune$5K volume0123456789%
Kristi Noem$20K volume0123456789%
Mike Pence$16K volume0123456789%
Tucker Carlson$31K volume0123456789%+1 pp
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$17K volume0123456789%
Ivanka Trump$40K volume0123456789%
Tom Brady$10K volume0123456789%
Rand Paul$20K volume0123456789%
Steve Bannon$21K volume0123456789%
Erika Kirk$27K volume0123456789%
Marjorie Taylor Greene$22K volume0123456789%
Candace Owens$12K volume0123456789%
Don Lemon$3K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Proposed outcome
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“Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.