How do I trade on “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?” close?

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2028. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?”?

The current trading volume is $120K. It updates in real time.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$120K volume·до Jan 1, 2028

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Gavin Newsom$7K volume01234567890123456789%

PriceSharesTotal

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$7K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Pete Buttigieg$3K volume01234567890123456789%

Josh Shapiro$639 volume01234567890123456789%

Wes Moore$215 volume01234567890123456789%-8 pp

Stephen A. Smith$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Kamala Harris$5K volume01234567890123456789%

Gretchen Whitmer$966 volume01234567890123456789%

Andy Beshear$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Jon Ossoff$4K volume01234567890123456789%-4 pp

Mark Cuban$228 volume01234567890123456789%

J.B. Pritzker$1K volume01234567890123456789%-6 pp

Raphael Warnock$833 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Cory Booker$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Tim Walz$5K volume0123456789%

Michelle Obama$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Mark Kelly$541 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Rahm Emanuel$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Gina Raimondo$2K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

Zohran Mamdani$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Roy Cooper$40 volume01234567890123456789%

John Fetterman$3K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Jared Polis$80 volume01234567890123456789%

Jon Stewart$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Barack Obama$628 volume0123456789%

Hillary Clinton$5K volume0123456789%

Liz Cheney$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Bernie Sanders$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Phil Murphy$1K volume01234567890123456789%-6 pp

LeBron James$277 volume01234567890123456789%

Hunter Biden$5K volume01234567890123456789%+16 pp

George Clooney$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Chelsea Clinton$125 volume01234567890123456789%

MrBeast$2K volume0123456789%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$990 volume01234567890123456789%

Oprah Winfrey$37 volume01234567890123456789%

Andrew Yang$4K volume01234567890123456789%

Beto O’Rourke$20 volume01234567890123456789%

Kim Kardashian$5K volume01234567890123456789%

Donald Trump$100 volume01234567890123456789%

J.D. Vance$5K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

Marco Rubio$3K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

Tulsi Gabbard$945 volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Glenn Youngkin$658 volume01234567890123456789%

Donald Trump Jr.$3K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Ron DeSantis$563 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Nikki Haley$361 volume01234567890123456789%

Vivek Ramaswamy$252 volume01234567890123456789%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders$0 volume01234567890123456789%

Greg Abbott$0 volume01234567890123456789%

Brian Kemp$450 volume01234567890123456789%-3 pp

Byron Donalds$94 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Elise Stefanik$80 volume01234567890123456789%

Josh Hawley$5K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Ted Cruz$6K volume01234567890123456789%

Elon Musk$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Matt Gaetz$358 volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp

Katie Britt$20 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

John Thune$203 volume01234567890123456789%

Kristi Noem$80 volume01234567890123456789%

Mike Pence$670 volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Tucker Carlson$4K volume01234567890123456789%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Ivanka Trump$389 volume0123456789%

Tom Brady$40 volume01234567890123456789%

Rand Paul$462 volume01234567890123456789%+7 pp

Steve Bannon$2K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Erika Kirk$3K volume0123456789%

Marjorie Taylor Greene$492 volume01234567890123456789%

Don Lemon$40 volume01234567890123456789%

Candace Owens$244 volume01234567890123456789%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.