How do I trade on “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

What is the trading volume of “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”?

The current trading volume is $1.7M. It updates in real time.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Q: When does “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?” close?

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

$1.7M volume·до Jan 1, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Markwayne Mullin$3K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$100K volume01234567890123456789%-4 pp

Pete Hegseth$199K volume01234567890123456789%-11 pp

Marco Rubio$173K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp

Scott Bessent$22K volume0123456789%

Lee Zeldin$35K volume01234567890123456789%

Howard Lutnick$112K volume01234567890123456789%-3 pp

Kash Patel$324K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

Stephen Miller$19K volume01234567890123456789%-3 pp

Susie Wiles$81K volume01234567890123456789%-9 pp

Dan Scavino$2K volume0123456789%-23 pp

David Sacks$10K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Russell Vought$1K volume01234567890123456789%-5 pp

Tom Homan$2K volume01234567890123456789%-6 pp

John Ratcliffe$805 volume01234567890123456789%

Kristi Noem$101K volume01234567890123456789%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.