Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
$3.6M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.6M volume0123456789%-1 pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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“Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.