Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
$1.4M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$1.4M volume0123456789%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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“Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.