Question 1

What is the “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” market?

Accepted Answer

“Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Question 2

How do I trade on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”?

Accepted Answer

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

Question 3

How will “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” be resolved?

Accepted Answer

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Question 4

When does “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” close?

Accepted Answer

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

Question 5

What is the trading volume of “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”?

Accepted Answer

The current trading volume is $74.7M. It updates in real time.