How do I trade on “Elon Musk # tweets October 16”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Elon Musk # tweets October 16” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Elon Musk # tweets October 16” close?

The expected close is до Oct 23, 2026. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Elon Musk # tweets October 16”?

The current trading volume is $738K. It updates in real time.

Elon Musk # tweets October 16

October 23, 2026?

$738K volume·до Oct 23, 2026

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

120-139$25K volume0123456789%

PriceSharesTotal

140-159$84K volume0123456789%

160-179$36K volume0123456789%+1 pp

180-199$54K volume0123456789%+6 pp

200-219$50K volume01234567890123456789%+10 pp

220-239$43K volume01234567890123456789%+14 pp

240-259$25K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp

260-279$25K volume01234567890123456789%-3 pp

280-299$27K volume01234567890123456789%-7 pp

300-319$20K volume0123456789%-5 pp

320-339$17K volume0123456789%-5 pp

340-359$21K volume0123456789%-3 pp

360-379$24K volume0123456789%-2 pp

380-399$23K volume0123456789%

400-419$31K volume0123456789%-1 pp

420-439$36K volume0123456789%

440-459$22K volume0123456789%

460-479$31K volume0123456789%

480-499$41K volume0123456789%

500+$65K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Elon Musk # tweets October 16” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.