How do I trade on “Next James Bond actor?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Next James Bond actor?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Next James Bond actor?” close?

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Next James Bond actor?”?

The current trading volume is $1.5M. It updates in real time.

Next James Bond actor?

$1.5M volume·до Jan 1, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Aaron Taylor-Johnson$34K volume0123456789%

PriceSharesTotal

James Norton$25K volume0123456789%

Paul Mescal$22K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Jacob Elordi$28K volume0123456789%

Harris Dickinson$31K volume0123456789%

Tom Hardy$23K volume0123456789%

Pierce Brosnan$16K volume0123456789%

Tom Holland$18K volume0123456789%

Henry Cavill$21K volume0123456789%

Callum Turner$110K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Jack Lowden$270K volume01234567890123456789%

Theo James$40K volume0123456789%

Robert James-Collier$9K volume0123456789%

Josh O'Connor$25K volume0123456789%

Timothee Chalamet$18K volume0123456789%

Michael B Jordan$12K volume0123456789%

Nicholas Galitzine$13K volume0123456789%

Jack Barton$68K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Jonathan Bailey$14K volume0123456789%

Tom Francis$27K volume0123456789%

Richard Madden$23K volume0123456789%

Jack O'Connell$39K volume0123456789%

Tom Blyth$14K volume0123456789%

No Bond chosen$586K volume01234567890123456789%-6 pp

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Next James Bond actor?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.