Next James Bond announced by...?
$9K volume·до Jul 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
October 31, 2026$2K volume01234567890123456789%
December 31, 2026$5K volume01234567890123456789%+12 pp
March 31, 2027$2K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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“Next James Bond announced by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.