Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$75K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
South Sudan$5K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Rwanda$4K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
Burundi$334 volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
United States$11K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Canada$3K volume0123456789%+3 pp
India$868 volume01234567890123456789%
Republic of the Congo$17K volume01234567890123456789%
Ethiopia$585 volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
Somalia$539 volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp
China$5K volume0123456789%-1 pp

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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“Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? · Melbo