How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$337K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
100-119$4K volume0123456789%
120-139$5K volume0123456789%+1 pp
140-159$50K volume01234567890123456789%-9 pp
160-179$103K volume0123456789%
180-199$62K volume0123456789%
200 or more$107K volume0123456789%+2 pp
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“How many SpaceX launches in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.