Another Elon baby by December 31?
$1K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Another Elon baby by December 31?$1K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Another Elon baby by December 31?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.