Human moon landing in 2026?
$2.0M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M volume0123456789%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Human moon landing in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.