Jensen Huang arrested by...?

Jensen Huang arrested by...?

$104K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
November 30, 2026$45K volume0123456789%-3 pp
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December 31, 2026$59K volume0123456789%-1 pp

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying arrest occurs when Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;

(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;

(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or

(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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“Jensen Huang arrested by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Jensen Huang arrested by...? · Melbo