OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
$360K volume·до Jan 1, 2030
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2027$238K volume0123456789%-1 pp
December 31, 2028$57K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp
December 31, 2029$65K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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“OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.