SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

$11K volume·до Jul 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2026$9K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
June 30, 2027$629 volume01234567890123456789%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? · Melbo