What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$456K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Earbuds/Headphones$125K volume01234567890123456789%-9 pp
Clip-on device for clothing$28K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp
Necklace$27K volume0123456789%
Watch$44K volume0123456789%
Glasses$68K volume01234567890123456789%
Ring$16K volume0123456789%
Phone$62K volume0123456789%
Tablet$26K volume0123456789%
Head-mounted display$15K volume0123456789%
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)$44K volume0123456789%
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
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“What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.